NFL Super Bowl Predictions… and sports betting

First let’s look at playoff predictions. If the season ended today, the NFL playoff picture would look like this:

AFC:
New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens
Indianapolis Colts
Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
Pittsburgh Steelers

NFC:
Atlanta Falcons
Philadelphia Eagles
New York Giants
Chicago Bears
Seattle Seahawks
New Orleans Saints

This of course could make for some interesting Super Bowl match ups. There could be a rematch of the Saints and the Colts, the Patriots and the Giants, the Colts and the Bears, or the Steelers and the Seahawks. If any of those scenarios occurred, who would you bet on? Would you bet on the team that won last time? Or would you go with the loser of the first match up?

Of course most bettors would need to reevaluate each team based on their current year’s performance, and that’s probably the best way to do it. When betting on the Super Bowl, it’s also important to look at how each team made it though the playoffs. A lot of Super Bowl bettors place too much importance on the regular season when determining their bets. How a team plays in the regular season is important, and a very important part in making it to the playoffs, but how a team plays in the post season is what makes champions. For my money, I would rather bet on a team that barely made the playoffs, but played really good through out than a team that dominated during the regular season, but barely made it to the Super Bowl.

One of the more interesting match ups would be a New York Jets vs New York Giants Super Bowl. Surprisingly, the idea of this Super Bowl match up seams to annoy most New Yorkers. Aside for the fact that both teams play in New Jersey, and that they Super Bowl will be held across the country in Dallas, most Jets fans don’t like the Giants, and Giants fans, which usually never have to hear about the Jets have been getting an earful over the last couple of years which all of the things the team has been doing. First they signed Brett Favre for a year. The following year, Favre was out, but Rex Ryan was in.

For those of you who don’t know, Rex Ryan is by far the most vocal coach in the NFL. He talks trash and it seems like he incruages his team to as well. This year HBO’s series Hard Knocks, where they follow an NFL team through their training camp, was centered around the Jets. If any NFL fans didn’t know much about Rex Ryan before that series, they should know a whole lot more now!

Okay, so aside from just Super Bowl betting and odds, we would like to take set back and bring you some odds for team to win their division and conference in order to get to the Super Bowl. Right now we are going to focus on the AFC Championship and the Division races. (We will be back with updated Super Bowl odds soon though).

Odds to win the AFC Championship
Baltimore Ravens +400
Cleveland Browns +15000
Houston Texans +10000
Indianapolis Colts +1000
Jacksonville Jaguars +5000
Kansas City Chiefs +1800
Miami Dolphins +8000
New England Patriots +350
New York Jets +400
Oakland Raiders +10000
Pittsburgh Steelers +450
San Diego Chargers +450
Tennessee Titans +6500

As you can see, no one thinks the Browns will win the AFC. The odds of them making the playoffs are terrible. But this is a team that might have some value if they made the playoffs. They have by far had the toughest schedule in the NFL. They also have 3 easy games coming up, so they could make a run.

Odds to win the Division – AFC South (everyone still has a shot!)
Indianapolis Colts -155
Houston Texans +900
Tennessee Titans +450
Jacksonville Jaguars +350

Odds to win the Division – NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles -150
New York Giants +110
Washington Redskins +5000

Odds to win the Division – AFC East
New England Patriots -115
New York Jets -110
Miami Dolphins +10000
My money is on the better odds… which is the Jets

Odds to win the Division – AFC North
Baltimore Ravens -115
Pittsburgh Steelers -110

Odds to win the Division – AFC West
San Diego Chargers -200
Oakland Raiders +1200
Kansas City Chiefs +175

These odds are surprising since the Chiefs are currently winning the division.

Odds to win the Division – NFC North
Green Bay Packers -175
Chicago Bears +130

Odds to win the Division – NFC South
New Orleans Saints +120
Atlanta Falcons -145
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2000

The Bucs could have some value here. They are 2 games out, but they have 3 easy games left this year. Unfortunately they are currently losing the tie breakers with both the Saints and the Falcons.

That’s all for now. Thanks for reading Bet the NFL Super Bowl. We’ll be back with more odds, bets and general sports betting advice soon!

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